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Sent: Wednesday, June 18, 2008 3:03 AM
Subject: Grassfire.org Climate Alarmism Backgrounder Updated 6/11/08

http://grassfire.org/242/warmingbriefing.pdf

Grassfire.org Climate Alarmism Backgrounder Updated 6/11/08

Basic Tenets of Climate Alarmism
#1--The earth is warming at an abnormal pace
#2--Man is the primary cause of this warming
(anthropogenic global warming, AGW)
#3--The warming trend is dangerous/catastrophic
#4 --Man can do something to save the planet
from the man-made warming
U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
(IPCC) statement, 2007 Bali Declaration:
"The 2007 IPCC report, compiled by several hundred
climate scientists, has unequivocally concluded that
our climate is warming rapidly [TENET #1], and that
we are now at least 90% certain that this is mostly
due to human activities [TENET #2]. The amount of
carbon dioxide in our atmosphere now far exceeds
the natural range of the past 650,000 years, and it is
rising very quickly due to human activity. If this
trend is not halted soon, many millions of people will
be at risk from extreme events such as heat waves,
drought, floods and storms, our coasts and cities will
be threatened by rising sea levels [TENET #3], and
many ecosystems, plants and animal species will be
in serious danger of extinction…. The prime goal of
this new regime must be to limit global warming to
no more than 2 ºC [TENET #4] above the preindustrial
temperature"1
Tenet #1-- Is The earth warming abnormally?
Al Gore: "We are now in a planetary emergency,
and we cannot afford the luxury of allowing the oil
and coal industry to prop up their surrogates in the
lying right-wing media." (NBC Today 4/1/07)
A. Current Warming Consistent With History
*Fact--Earth emerged from "Little Ice Age" about
150 years ago (extremely low sunspot activity);
steadily (and naturally) warming.
*Fact--Earth has experienced much warmer periods
than today: Medieval Warming Period (Medieval
Climate Optimum, 1100AD)
*Current warming since 1900: .74 degrees Celcius2
*"Icecore data from the ACIA (Arctic Climate
Impact Assessment) shows that temperatures have
fallen since around 4,000 years ago (the Bronze Age
Climate Optimum) while CO2 levels have risen,"3
B. Recent Warming not alarming
*Pre 1940 warming not attributable to AGW
*Climate cooled from 1940-1975 during rising GHG.
TIME 6/24/74: "Another Ice Age?"4
*Questionable whether any warming from 75-96
*No warming trend since 1998; new studies show
global cooling thru 2015
*In Solar Cycle 24, very low sunspot activity--may
lead to global cooling.5
C. Weather stations not in compliance6
* Meteorologist Anthony Watts has monitored nearly
half of US monitoring stations: "the vast majority of
them to be out of compliance of NOAA's own
published specifications for station sighting."
*100 foot rule -- 87% break this rule
*56% have artificial heating source within 10 meters;
13% sit next to/above heating source; thus, 69%
within 10 meters.
Tenet #2 -- Man is the primary cause of GW
IPCC: "…[W]e are now at least 90% certain that
this is mostly due to human activities."
A. Is There Really Scientific Consensus?
*Manhattan Declaration: "That there is no
convincing evidence that CO2 emissions from
modern industrial activity has in the past, is now, or
will in the future cause catastrophic climate change."7
*31,000 scientists have signed a statement contesting
the conclusion of AGW; called the Oregon Petition.8
*Bill Gray, nation's preeminent hurricane forecaster;
MIT's Richard Lindzen, Neil Frank (former director
Ntl Hurricance Ctr) all reject AGWarming
B. CO2 and man-made CO2 represents a fraction of
the total greenhouse gases
*CO2 has risen from 280ppm to 360ppm; doubling
of CO2 at most is 2 degree temp increase9
*Water vapor is the "most important atmospheric
greenhouse gas"10
*water vapor accounts for 95% of the greenhouse
effect.11 (govt figures discount)
C. Rising CO2 follows warming!
*The ice core data reveals that CO2 changes
FOLLOW climate warming, so the long lens of
history does not show that CO2 is even a good
predictor (never mind cause) of global warming.
D. Sun causes global warming? What a concept!
*"There now is little doubt that solar-wind
variability is a primary cause of climate change on
a decadal time scale."12
*It is reasonable to theorize that the sun (not man) is
the prime-mover of fluctuations in the earth's temp
*could be sun spots, level of cloud cover.
Tenet #3--Is warming dangerous/catastrophic?
A. Al Gore's Dire Predictions…
And Reality
*Al Gore: GW causes disastrous
weather events (see his movie
promo image).
*Gore's movie full of inaccuracies
acc to British judge; requires disclaimers when used
in school.
Grassfire.org Climate Alarmism Backgrounder Updated 6/11/08
*20 foot sea level rise; snows of Kilimanjaro,
drowning polar bears, Hurricane Katrina--all rebuffed
*MIT Professor Kerry Emanuel-- the key scientist for
Al Gore's theory-- has recanted and now says GW
and severe hurricanes not connected; may drop over
next 100 years.13
*IF true, GW would cause less temp diff between
poles and equator and thus less tropical storms14
B. Rise in CO2 might actually be GOOD!
*CO2 not a pollutant! Necessary for life (FYI
catalydic converters convert CO in to CO2!)
*Rising CO2 good for plants and animals and good
for the economy (+$37billion by 2050 if CO2
doubles)
*Gross Primary Production (GPP) of plant life up
6.2% in past two decades
Tenet #4--Can man solve problem anyways?
Time Mag: "Everyone agrees that it's necessary to
reduce carbon emissions around the world."15
Man's Efforts Won't Work Anyways
*"The Kyoto Protocol– even if punctiliously
observed by all participating nations – would
decrease calculated future temperatures by only 0.02
degrees C by 2050, an undetectable amount.16
FACTS on Cap & Trade Bill
Bill Title: America's Climate Security Act (S. 2191,
Lieberman-Warner)
*Creates a $1.2 Trillion tax: "Enacting S. 2191 as it
was ordered reported would increase revenues by
about $1.19 trillion over the 2009–2018 period, CBO
estimates.17
*A pass-on tax. CBO: "Firms [that were subject to
the CO2 cap] would not ultimately bear most of the
costs of the allowances. Instead, they would pass
them along to their customers (and their customers'
customers) in the form of higher prices.18
*A REGRESSIVE tax. CBO: "The rise in prices for
energy and energy-intensive goods and services
would impose a larger burden, relative to income, on
low-income households than on high-income
households." 3.3% of income for lowest income
people
*National Association of Manufacturers study 3/08--
loss of $1.2 million jobs in 2020; loss of household
income of $739-$2,927
Miscellaneus Bizarre Tidbits
*Headline In Christian Science Monitor: "Global
Warming Not Always To Blame For Extreme
Winters" (Christian Science Monitor)19
*Harry Smith to Al Gore: "Mr. Vice President, what
do you say to those who still doubt that climate
change is the Earth-destroying crisis that you and
every environmentalist group says it is?"20
*Meredith Viera to Al Gore: "Mr. Vice President,
now that the scientific consensus is in, and everyone,
except for a certain fringe element, believes that we
are indeed in a climate crisis, should the deniers even
be allowed to stand in the way of, you know,
environmental progress?"
*TIME 6/24/74: "When meteorologists take an
average of temperatures around the globe they find
that the atmosphere has been growing gradually
cooler for the past three decades. The trend shows no
indication of reversing…. may be the harbinger of
another ice age."
Scientists/Leaders Respond
"The science [of man-made Global Warming] is not valid.
There is no Global Warming underway and the science on
which the computer projections of weather chaos are based
is wrong. Dead wrong…. No anthropogenic global
warming is happening." John Coleman, Founder of the
Weather Channel
"Global warming is a myth and every serious person and
scientist says so…. [I]t's obvious that environmentalism is
a new incarnation of modern leftism."21 Vaclav Klaus,
President, Czech Republic
" The 'global warming' trope is unraveling on a daily basis
- scientifically, economically, and politically." Philip Stott
(Prof Emeritus, University of London.
"I am of the opinion that this is one of the greatest hoaxes
ever perpetrated on the American people." Bill Gray, Prof
Emeritus Colorado State University, America's Hurricane
expert
"It's a hoax." Neil Frank, former direction National
Hurricane Center.22
"…[A]s a scientist, I can find no substantive basis for the
warming scenarios being popularly described." Richard
Lindzen, Alfred P. Sloan Professor of Atmospheric
Science at MIT
"This whole climate change issue is rapidly disintegrating.
From now onwards climate alarmists will be on the retreat.
[…] All indications are that we are now on the threshold of
global cooling associated with the second and less active
solar cycle." – May 2, 2008 - By Professor Dr. Will J.R.
Alexander, Emeritus University of Pretoria in South Africa
"It is time to put aside the global warming dogma, at least
to begin contingency planning about what to do if we are
moving into another little ice age." — Geophysicist Philip
Chapman, former NASA astronaut and former pres. Of
National Space Society.
Time's 51 glogal warming tips (4/9/07):
#1--turn food into fuel, change lightbulbs (2), hang
clothesline, pay carbon tax, skip steak, choose paper over
plastic", take off your tie, don't make left hand turns.
Grassfire.org Climate Alarmism Backgrounder Updated 6/11/08
1 http://www.climate.unsw.edu.au/bali/
2 http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/7329799.stm
3 4/16/08 letter to IPCC from Hans Schreuder Piers Corbyn Dr Don Parkes Svend Hendriksen
4 http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,944914,00.html
5 http://network.nationalpost.com/np/blogs/fpcomment/archive/2008/05/30/the-deniers-our-spotless-sun.aspx
6 http://www.surfacestations.org/; Beck interview: http://www.glennbeck.com/content/articles/article/196/6727/?ck=1
7 http://www.heartland.org/Article.cfm?artId=22866
8 http://www.oism.org/pproject/
9 http://209.85.165.104/search?q=cache:rDsk2aYLzPUJ:www-eaps.mit.edu/faculty/lindzen/Testimony/
Senate2001.pdf+MIT's+Richard+Lindzen&hl=en&ct=clnk&cd=1&gl=us&client=firefox-a

10 Nature, Not Human Activity…
11 http://www.geocraft.com/WVFossils/greenhouse_data.html
12 Nature, Not Human Activity, Rules the Climate © 2008, Science and Environmental Policy Project / S. Fred Singer
13 http://www.prisonplanet.com/articles/april2008/041408_alarmism_discredited.htm
14 http://www.opinionjournal.com/extra/?id=110008220
15 http://www.time.com/time/specials/2007/environment/article/0,28804,1602354_1603074_1603121,00.html
16 Nature, not human activity…
17 http://cbo.gov/ftpdocs/91xx/doc9134/04-24-Cap_Trade_Testimony.1.1.shtml
18 http://cbo.gov/ftpdocs/91xx/doc9134/04-24-Cap_Trade_Testimony.1.1.shtml
19 http://www.csmonitor.com/2008/0307/p02s09-usgn.html?page=1
20 http://www.firesociety.com/blog/100/12400/Environmentalists-are-Jumping-the-Shark/
21 http://www.brusselsjournal.com/node/1899
22 http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/05/23/AR2006052301305_pf.html